Morgan Wallen is projected to reclaim No. 1 on the Billboard 200, leading Taylor Swift by 9,000 units. If it holds, he’ll become the longest-running No. 1 solo artist of 2025.

The Billboard 200 race is heading toward a dramatic finish, and all signs point to Morgan Wallen reclaiming the top spot. According to the latest midweek data from HITSDD, Wallen’s album I’m The Problem is projected to return to No. 1, setting up a historic chart moment in 2025.
At midweek, I’m The Problem is tracking 81,000 equivalent album units, giving Wallen a 9,000-unit advantage over Taylor Swift’s chart juggernaut The Life of a Showgirl, which is currently projected at 72,000 units. While final numbers can still shift before the tracking week closes, the gap places Wallen in a strong position as the industry watches closely.

If the projections hold, Wallen will break his 12-week tie with Swift for the longest-running No. 1 album of the year. That milestone would make him the solo artist with the most weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 in 2025, a significant achievement in a year dominated by blockbuster releases and intense fan-driven competition.
The chart showdown also highlights two very different kinds of longevity. Swift’s The Life of a Showgirl has demonstrated remarkable staying power, fueled by massive streaming numbers, consistent physical sales, and one of the most dedicated fanbases in music. Wallen, meanwhile, has leaned on sustained country-radio dominance and strong streaming performance, allowing I’m The Problem to remain a weekly force even months into its run.

Industry analysts note that late-week digital sales pushes or streaming surges could still tighten the race, particularly with Swift’s fans known for coordinated chart support. However, as of now, Wallen holds the upper hand — and the momentum.
Whether the final numbers confirm the midweek projections or deliver a last-minute surprise, one thing is clear: the Billboard 200 race remains one of the most closely watched storylines of the year. For Wallen, a return to No. 1 would mark a defining chapter in his 2025 chart legacy. For Swift, the challenge underscores her continued dominance in an increasingly competitive chart landscape.All eyes now turn to the final count. The question isn’t just who will win the week — it’s who will define 2025 on the Billboard 200.